When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Boebert, in her first term in Congress, made a name for herself with incendiary remarks and is among the most far-right members of the House GOP caucus. "The Democratic Party has slowly but surely eroded the trust of rural and working class Americans. PAUL RYAN SAYS MCCARTHY WILL CLINCH SPEAKERSHIP, ANYONE NOT NAMED TRUMP CAN BEAT BIDEN. Ruth Igielnik But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. Frisch, a former Aspen City Council member whos a virtual unknown outside Colorado, came within striking distance of the right-wing star despite her having former President Donald Trumps backing in the Republican-leaning 3rd Congressional District, which covers much of the western half of Colorado and is largely rural. Nov. 8, 2022, Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. Rep. Lauren Boebert (R, CO-3), an in-your-face conservative who only barely won in a clearly GOP-leaning district in western Colorado, has not moderated her behavior at all in the aftermath of her near-loss. Nate Cohn Boebert, who won election to the House of Representatives in 2020 after defeating former GOP Rep. Scott Tipton in the Republican primaries, was ahead by just over 1,100 votes on Saturday. Hans Mai is a reporter based in Washington, D.C. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. In a tweet Saturday, Frisch said the race is still waiting on thousands of ballots from active duty military service members, and acknowledged the likelihood of a recount in the race. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. Alicia Parlapiano We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Read more openly feuded with progressive lawmakers, President Biden, first lady's restaurant order sparks strong reactions, White House says solution to TikTok in the works, would not say whether service would be banned, Tennessee lawmakers look to legally define 'sex,' restrict ID name changes, Unveiling budget plan, Massachusetts Gov. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., addresses attendees at the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit in Tampa, Florida, on July 23, 2022. Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. NYT Graphics , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. Democrat House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference in Grand Junction, Colorado, on Sept. 10, 2022. Heres who won The former Aspen City Council member has received more than 15,000 . Listen Now. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Georgia Congresswoman Greene said during a Fox News appearance last week that she plans to introduce a resolution that would require an audit of all Ukrainian aid. Our country comes first. Legal Statement. Keynote speakers at its recent conference included Senator Ron Johnson (Rep-WI) and Congressional Representative Lauren Boebert (Rep-CO). Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. Nov. 9, 2022, Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Frisch gained a total of four votes in the recount, not nearly enough to catch up and overtake Boebert's lead. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., attends a House Second Amendment Caucus press conference at the U.S. Capitol June 8, 2022, in Washington, D.C. Democratic House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Congresswoman Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference Sept. 10, 2022, in Grand Junction, Colorado. In Gallup polls over the past three years, the percentage favoring stricter gun sales laws has gone from 52% to 66% to 57%. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. BOEBERT INCHES AHEAD AS COLORADO VOTES CONTINUE TO BE TALLIED, Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., is seen on the House steps of the U.S. Capitol after the last votes of the week on Thursday, June 16, 2022. Here are the candidates running for the seat. Emily Brooks contributed. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. See the full forecast . Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Colorado Third Congressional District Election Results, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-colorado-us-house-district-3.html. Nov. 8, 2022, Rural counties in Virginias 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. A recount reconfirmed that GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert defeated Democrat Adam Frisch in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, the Colorado secretary of state said this week. Democratic House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Congresswoman Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference Sept. 10, 2022, in Grand Junction, Colorado. And right now, despite what these pro-Putin Republicans say, it is in our interest to continue to support Ukraine, he said. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. The venue once occupied by extremist Rep. Lauren Boebert's (R-Colo.) gun-themed restaurant, Shooters Grill, is being turned into a Mexican eatery. Lazaro Gamio Market data provided by Factset. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. , Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. Market data provided by Factset. A total of 10 MAGA Republicans, including Boebert and Georgias Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA), signed on as co-sponsors of the so-called Ukraine Fatigue Resolution. In addition to ending all military and financial aid, the non-binding resolution calls on all combatants to reach a peace agreement. Albert Sun Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. . Lauren Boebert received 51 percent of the vote in 2020, she did not win her home county, those that know her dont care for her and a lot more people know her now that did before, Frisch said. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. 7% of voters are undecided, per the poll. Lauren Leatherby , Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. And in a statement Thursday afternoon, Frisch said military and overseas ballots still have to be counted. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. In a virtual press conference announcing his concession, Frisch argued that the thin margin is its own small victory after his campaign was largely considered futile by the political establishment. Nov. 8, 2022, Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The unexpectedly tight race between incumbent Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert and her Democratic challenger, Adam Frisch, could head to a recount if the current margins hold. Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Nov. 10, 2022 The race remains too close to call in Colorado's Third Congressional District, where Representative Lauren Boebert, a far-right Republican who heckled President Biden during his. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizonas secretary of state. Frisch, who is Jewish, challenged a member of Congress who espoused Christian nationalist rhetoric and who argued earlier this year that the church is supposed to direct the government.. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. Alicia Parlapiano County canvass boards have until Nov. 30 to submit official votes cast. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto ORourke. 8.). Boeberts office did not respond to a request for comment. Read more Dont expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska wont finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. HOUSE GOP TO VOTE ON NOMINATING MCCARTHY FOR SPEAKER, BUT HIS CANDIDACY WON'T BE SECURED UNTIL JANUARY, The chamber of the House of Representatives is seen at the Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Feb. 28, 2022. In one of the most unexpectedly close midterm races in the country, 55-year-old 'commonsense' Democrat Adam Frisch failed to boot Colorado firebrand Lauren Boebert from Congress . Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Boebert Defeats Frisch: Colorado Third Congressional District Election Results 2022 - The New York Times Advertisement Senate House Uncalled House Races Top Races Governor Needle Ga. Senate. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., at a House Second Amendment Caucus news conference in Washington on June 8. defeated a more moderate primary opponent. candidate is ahead. Though the GOP was favored to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, with Fox News' Power Rankings listing the race as "likely Republican" as of Nov. 1, Boebert ran behind her Frisch most of the night. Very very small," he said. The race between Boebert and Frisch has tightened since polls closed on Tuesday and Frisch quickly opened up a commanding advantage. Jason Kao Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. And while this resolution is not expect to get the necessary votes needed, it further highlights the divide within the GOP. The lines below show how the reported margin (dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (solid line surrounded by an estimate of uncertainty). Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. . Colorado Congresswoman Lauren Boebert (R-CO) is among a group of nearly a dozen far-right Republicans who have co-sponsored a House resolution that calls for an end of all U.S. military and financial aid to Ukraine. Maggie Astor DENVER The race for Colorado's 3rd Congressional District between Republican incumbent Rep. Lauren Boebert and Democrat Adam Frisch was within a few hundred votes on Friday morning. The campaigns on the ground, however, were not fazed by the close contest. KYRSTEN SINEMA'S SWITCH TO INDEPENDENT DESCRIBED AS GUT PUNCH TO DEMOCRATS: NO WIGGLE ROOM, Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., attends a House Second Amendment Caucus press conference at the U.S. Capitol June 8, 2022, in Washington, D.C. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images). She has openly feuded with progressive lawmakers, including "Squad" members Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and used her Twitter account to provoke her opponents and detractors, including moderate Republicans. A Colorado statute instructs that a recount must be completed 35 days after the general election, which would be Dec. 13 this year. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Boebert, who founded Shooters Restaurant in Rifle, Colorado which became famous for its gun-toting waitresses campaigned on her conservative message, and criticized Frisch for being out of touch with most voters in the district, which includes mostly rural towns in the west and southwest of Colorado. Boebert has narrowed the gap since then, and took the lead on Thursday. , Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire was re-elected, holding on to one of Democrats most vulnerable seats in a tight contest for Senate control. Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, a Democrat, was elected to a third term, holding off a strong challenge from a Republican newcomer. (The graphic below will provide the latest vote count.). Vance, a Republican and the Hillbilly Elegy author, is very likely to win Ohios Senate race, according to our estimates. Nate Cohn We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Republicans lost several key races they had hoped to win, frustrating their effort to recapture House and Senate majorities. Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. . Market data provided by Factset. , The Hillbilly Elegy author and Republican J.D. Republicans aren't buying it. Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. Her Democratic opponent, Frisch, told his supporters to "stay tuned" in a message thanking the volunteers working to count ballots. . He added that he hasnt ruled out another bid for the seat in 2024. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. Boebert for her part has been a vocal opponent of providing additional aid to Kyiv without stronger oversight. Just a shout out to my Dad who lives in her district and told me last month [Boebert] could lose and I didnt believe him, former White House press secretary Jen Psaki wrote on Twitter, adding in a separate message that the race is huge.. Feb 25, 2023, 04:25 AM EST | Updated Feb 25, 2023. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Fox News' Chad Pergram provides details on Rep. Kevin McCarthy's effort to become Speaker of the House. Boebert's campaign dismissed word of the poll's results. The state conducts a mandatory recount if the margin of victory is within half a percentage point, and in the most recent tally on Saturday, Boebert led with 50.17% of the vote to Frisch's 49.83%. There are also uncounted votes in Mesa and Montrose counties, both of which have broken for Boebert, per her campaign. He is an award-winning journalist, who has been covering politics, foreign affairs, business and sports for various U.S. and European publications. California Republican Mike Garcia's re-election gives GOP House majority, Lori Lightfoot's critics sound off on Chicago mayor losing re-election: 'Crime doesnt pay', President Biden, first lady's restaurant order sparks strong reactions, White House says solution to TikTok in the works, would not say whether service would be banned, Tennessee lawmakers look to legally define 'sex,' restrict ID name changes. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. All rights reserved. DENVER -- The Colorado Secretary of State has ordered a recount in the congressional race where Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert led Democrat Adam Frisch by just 550 votes in an unexpectedly tight race. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). The recount, which was expected, was formally announced Wednesday. In July, Boebert held a 49%-42% advantage. or redistributed. I called her to formally concede this election," he added. Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) has taken the lead in the race for Colorados 3rd Congressional District, edging ahead of Democratic challenger Adam Frisch with 97 percent of the vote in. 6, 2021, in the 2020 presidential election in the state bans. Georgia is one of the vote reporting so far is early, and took lead. 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